Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Petah Tikva: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Sammy Ofer Stadium, Haifa
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Haifa the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Maccabi Petah Tikva. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Petah Tikva?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Hapoel Haifa (1,846) and Maccabi Petah Tikva (1,857).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Haifa have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Maccabi Petah Tikva have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(home) | 4-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(home) | 1-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bnei Sakhnin(away) | 2-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias(home) | 3-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa(away) | 3-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(home) | 2-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias(away) | 3-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(home) | 2-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon(away) | 0-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Maccabi Netanya(home) | 1-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hapoel Haifa win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Maccabi Petah Tikva win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | Hapoel Haifa 5-1 Maccabi Petah Tikva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Maccabi Petah Tikva 0-0 Hapoel Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
| Mar 5, 2024 | Hapoel Haifa 0-3 Maccabi Petah Tikva | State Cup |
| Jan 8, 2024 | Maccabi Petah Tikva 0-3 Hapoel Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Hapoel Haifa 2-2 Maccabi Petah Tikva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Jul 11, 2023 | Hapoel Haifa 1-1 Maccabi Petah Tikva | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Petah Tikva on Jan 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Haifa score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Petah Tikva score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Haifa | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Maccabi Petah Tikva | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Petah Tikva?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Haifa the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Maccabi Petah Tikva.
- Where and when is Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Petah Tikva played?
- Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Petah Tikva is played on October 10, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Sammy Ofer Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.