Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Tiberias Municipal Stadium, Tiberias
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Beer Sheva the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Ironi Tiberias. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
Hapoel Beer Sheva starts as the favourite with a 264-point Elo edge (2,074 vs 1,810).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ironi Tiberias have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Hapoel Beer Sheva have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hapoel Petah Tikva(home) | 1-0 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maccabi Petah Tikva(home) | 0-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa(away) | 2-4 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(home) | 0-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Hapoel Haifa(away) | 1-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Sabah FA(away) | 2-5 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sabah FA(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hapoel Haifa(away) | 0-4 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 11, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ironi Tiberias win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Hapoel Beer Sheva win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | Ironi Tiberias 3-0 Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Hapoel Beer Sheva 7-0 Ironi Tiberias | Ligat Ha'al |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Hapoel Beer Sheva 4-0 Ironi Tiberias | Ligat Ha'al |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Ironi Tiberias 0-2 Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-3 Ironi Tiberias | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Feb 28, 2024 | Hapoel Beer Sheva 1-0 Ironi Tiberias | State Cup |
Last archived meeting: Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Beer Sheva on Dec 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Ironi Tiberias score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Beer Sheva score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi Tiberias | 1.4 | 1.3 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1.7 | 1.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ironi Tiberias | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Ironi Tiberias | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Beer Sheva the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Ironi Tiberias.
- Where and when is Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Beer Sheva played?
- Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Beer Sheva is played on October 10, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Tiberias Municipal Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.