Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Bnei Sakhnin: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Bloomfield Stadium, Tel-Aviv
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Tel Aviv the favourite at 72%, against 19% for a draw and 9% for Bnei Sakhnin. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Bnei Sakhnin?
Maccabi Tel Aviv is a heavy favourite: 2,079 Elo points against 1,716, a 363-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Tel Aviv have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Bnei Sakhnin have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon(away) | 5-2 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 20, 2026 | FC Lugano(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Maccabi Netanya(away) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 13, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Maccabi Netanya(away) | 0-0 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hapoel Petah Tikva(home) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa(home) | 0-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(away) | 0-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hapoel Haifa(home) | 1-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Maccabi Tel Aviv win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Bnei Sakhnin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-0 Bnei Sakhnin | Ligat Ha'al |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Bnei Sakhnin 0-0 Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Maccabi Tel Aviv 3-1 Bnei Sakhnin | Ligat Ha'al |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Bnei Sakhnin 0-4 Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Maccabi Tel Aviv 2-1 Bnei Sakhnin | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| May 6, 2024 | Bnei Sakhnin 1-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Bnei Sakhnin on Jan 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Tel Aviv score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bnei Sakhnin score 0.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | 2.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Bnei Sakhnin | 0.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Tel Aviv sit 1st in Ligat Ha'al (3 points from 1 matches) and Bnei Sakhnin sit 6th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Bnei Sakhnin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Bnei Sakhnin?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Tel Aviv the favourite at 72%, against 19% for a draw and 9% for Bnei Sakhnin.
- Where and when is Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Bnei Sakhnin played?
- Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Bnei Sakhnin is played on October 10, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Bloomfield Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.