Hapoel Katamon vs Maccabi Haifa: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Teddi Malcha Stadium, Jerusalem
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Haifa the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Hapoel Katamon. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Katamon vs Maccabi Haifa?
Maccabi Haifa starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,973 vs 1,853).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Katamon have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Maccabi Haifa have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Maccabi Tel Aviv(home) | 2-5 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa(away) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hapoel Petah Tikva(home) | 3-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(away) | 2-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Maccabi Petah Tikva(home) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(home) | 2-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon(home) | 0-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bnei Sakhnin(away) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias(home) | 4-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(away) | 0-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hapoel Katamon win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Maccabi Haifa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa 0-1 Hapoel Katamon | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon 1-1 Maccabi Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Maccabi Haifa 2-2 Hapoel Katamon | Ligat Ha'al |
| Feb 17, 2025 | Maccabi Haifa 3-3 Hapoel Katamon | Ligat Ha'al |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Hapoel Katamon 0-0 Maccabi Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
| Jan 7, 2024 | Maccabi Haifa 2-1 Hapoel Katamon | Ligat Ha'al |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Katamon on Aug 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Katamon score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Haifa score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Katamon | 1.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Maccabi Haifa | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Katamon sit 13th in Ligat Ha'al (0 points from 1 matches) and Maccabi Haifa sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Maccabi Haifa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Hapoel Katamon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Katamon vs Maccabi Haifa?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Haifa the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Hapoel Katamon.
- Where and when is Hapoel Katamon vs Maccabi Haifa played?
- Hapoel Katamon vs Maccabi Haifa is played on October 10, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Teddi Malcha Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.