Hapoel Herzliya vs Shimshon Tel Aviv: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 33Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium Herzliya, Herzliya
The Footlab model makes Shimshon Tel Aviv the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Hapoel Herzliya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Herzliya vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Hapoel Herzliya (1,620) and Shimshon Tel Aviv (1,676).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Herzliya have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Shimshon Tel Aviv have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(home) | 1-5 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(home) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat(home) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hapoel Herzliya win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Shimshon Tel Aviv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya 0-1 Shimshon Tel Aviv | Liga Alef |
| Apr 22, 2025 | Hapoel Herzliya 2-2 Shimshon Tel Aviv | Liga Alef |
| Dec 19, 2024 | Shimshon Tel Aviv 0-2 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Hapoel Herzliya 2-2 Shimshon Tel Aviv | Liga Alef |
| Feb 1, 2024 | Shimshon Tel Aviv 3-0 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
| Aug 31, 2023 | Shimshon Tel Aviv 2-2 Hapoel Herzliya | State Cup |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Herzliya vs Shimshon Tel Aviv on Jan 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Herzliya score 0.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Shimshon Tel Aviv score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Herzliya | 0.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Shimshon Tel Aviv | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Herzliya sit 14th in Liga Alef (22 points from 22 matches) and Shimshon Tel Aviv sit 7th (30 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shimshon Tel Aviv | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 28 | 30 |
| 14 | Hapoel Herzliya | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 36 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Herzliya vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?
- The Footlab model makes Shimshon Tel Aviv the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Hapoel Herzliya.
- Where and when is Hapoel Herzliya vs Shimshon Tel Aviv played?
- Hapoel Herzliya vs Shimshon Tel Aviv is played on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium Herzliya, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 9, 2027Hapoel AzorvsMaccabi Ashdod
- Apr 9, 2027Hapoel Mahane YehudavsMaccabi Yavne
- Apr 9, 2027Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsTzeirey Tira
- Apr 10, 2027Hapoel HaderavsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Apr 10, 2027DimonavsKfar Saba 1928
- Apr 10, 2027Hapoel SderotvsNordia Jerusalem
- Apr 10, 2027Beitar YavnevsHolon Yermiyahu
- Apr 10, 2027FC JerusalemvsHapoel Marmorek