Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Maccabi Yavne: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 33Kick-off on April 9, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Moshava Training Field, Pétaḥ-Tiqva (Petach-Tikva)
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Yavne the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Maccabi Yavne?
Maccabi Yavne starts as the favourite with a 198-point Elo edge (1,760 vs 1,562).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Mahane Yehuda have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Maccabi Yavne have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025 | Hapoel Hod HaSharon(away) | 1-5 | State Cup |
| Nov 11, 2024 | Agudat Sport Ashdod(away) | 0-1 | State Cup |
| Oct 8, 2024 | Hapoel Kiryat Ono(away) | 2-1 | State Cup |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Maccabi Giv'at Shmuel(home) | 3-1 | State Cup |
| Sep 6, 2024 | Beitar Tel Aviv Ramla(away) | 4-2 | State Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(away) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Shimshon Tel Aviv(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Dimona(home) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Maccabi Yavne win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2019 | Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 2-2 Maccabi Yavne | Liga Alef |
| Sep 21, 2018 | Maccabi Yavne 2-0 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | Liga Alef |
| Mar 2, 2018 | Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 0-3 Maccabi Yavne | Liga Alef |
| Oct 23, 2017 | Maccabi Yavne 3-1 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | Liga Alef |
| Mar 3, 2017 | Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 1-2 Maccabi Yavne | Liga Alef |
| Oct 28, 2016 | Maccabi Yavne 0-1 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Maccabi Yavne on Jan 25, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Yavne score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Maccabi Yavne | 2.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Maccabi Yavne | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 42 | 28 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Maccabi Yavne?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Yavne the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda.
- Where and when is Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Maccabi Yavne played?
- Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Maccabi Yavne is played on April 9, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Moshava Training Field, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 9, 2027Hapoel AzorvsMaccabi Ashdod
- Apr 9, 2027Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsTzeirey Tira
- Apr 10, 2027Hapoel HaderavsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Apr 10, 2027DimonavsKfar Saba 1928
- Apr 10, 2027Hapoel HerzliyavsShimshon Tel Aviv
- Apr 10, 2027Hapoel SderotvsNordia Jerusalem
- Apr 10, 2027Beitar YavnevsHolon Yermiyahu
- Apr 10, 2027FC JerusalemvsHapoel Marmorek