FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Marmorek: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 33Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Har Huma synthetic, Jerusalem
The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Hapoel Marmorek. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Marmorek?
FC Jerusalem starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,735 vs 1,608).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Jerusalem have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Hapoel Marmorek have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Dimona(home) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Nordia Jerusalem(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod(home) | 3-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(away) | 5-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 FC Jerusalem win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Hapoel Marmorek win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | FC Jerusalem 1-2 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Hapoel Marmorek 1-2 FC Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Hapoel Marmorek 1-4 FC Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Dec 27, 2024 | FC Jerusalem 2-2 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
| Aug 30, 2024 | FC Jerusalem 0-1 Hapoel Marmorek | State Cup |
Last archived meeting: FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Marmorek on Jan 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Jerusalem score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Marmorek score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Jerusalem | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Hapoel Marmorek | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Jerusalem sit 2nd in Liga Alef (37 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Marmorek sit 12th (24 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Jerusalem | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 29 | 37 |
| 12 | Hapoel Marmorek | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 34 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Marmorek?
- The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Hapoel Marmorek.
- Where and when is FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Marmorek played?
- FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Marmorek is played on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Har Huma synthetic, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 9, 2027Hapoel AzorvsMaccabi Ashdod
- Apr 9, 2027Hapoel Mahane YehudavsMaccabi Yavne
- Apr 9, 2027Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsTzeirey Tira
- Apr 10, 2027Hapoel HaderavsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Apr 10, 2027DimonavsKfar Saba 1928
- Apr 10, 2027Hapoel HerzliyavsShimshon Tel Aviv
- Apr 10, 2027Hapoel SderotvsNordia Jerusalem
- Apr 10, 2027Beitar YavnevsHolon Yermiyahu