Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 2Kick-off on September 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Hadera Synthetic Training Complex, Hadera
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Ironi Karmiel the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Bnei Musmus. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Hapoel Ironi Karmiel (1,712) and Hapoel Bnei Musmus (1,715).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Ironi Karmiel have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Hapoel Bnei Musmus have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Tira(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus(home) | 2-3 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Hapoel Bnei Musmus win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 2-3 Hapoel Bnei Musmus | Liga Alef |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus 1-0 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus on Jan 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Bnei Musmus score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel sit 5th in Liga Alef (33 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Bnei Musmus sit 6th (33 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 23 | 33 |
| 6 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 28 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Ironi Karmiel the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Bnei Musmus.
- Where and when is Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus played?
- Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus is played on September 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Hadera Synthetic Training Complex, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 9, 2026Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
- Sep 9, 2026Beitar NahariyavsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
- Sep 9, 2026Hapoel Migdal HaEmekvsHapoel Beit Shean
- Sep 9, 2026Ironi Baka El GarbiyavsIroni Nesher
- Sep 9, 2026TiravsHapoel Ironi Arraba
- Sep 9, 2026Tzeirey TamravsHapoel Umm al-Fahm
- Sep 9, 2026Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
- Sep 9, 2026Tzeirei Umm al-FahmvsMaccabi Neve Sha'anan