Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Ironi Nesher: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 2Kick-off on September 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Baqa al-Gharbiyye Stadium, Baqa al-Gharbiyye
The Footlab model makes Ironi Baka El Garbiya the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Ironi Nesher. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Ironi Nesher?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Ironi Baka El Garbiya (1,702) and Ironi Nesher (1,612).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ironi Baka El Garbiya have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Ironi Nesher have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(home) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tira(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ironi Baka El Garbiya win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Ironi Nesher win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Ironi Nesher 0-0 Ironi Baka El Garbiya | Liga Alef |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya 3-0 Ironi Nesher | Liga Alef |
| Feb 18, 2025 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya 1-1 Ironi Nesher | Liga Alef |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Ironi Nesher 1-0 Ironi Baka El Garbiya | Liga Alef |
| Mar 1, 2024 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya 4-0 Ironi Nesher | Liga Alef |
| Sep 28, 2023 | Ironi Nesher 0-0 Ironi Baka El Garbiya | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Ironi Nesher vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya on Feb 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ironi Baka El Garbiya score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ironi Nesher score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi Baka El Garbiya | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Ironi Nesher | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ironi Baka El Garbiya sit 9th in Liga Alef (31 points from 22 matches) and Ironi Nesher sit 11th (29 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 31 |
| 11 | Ironi Nesher | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 37 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Ironi Nesher?
- The Footlab model makes Ironi Baka El Garbiya the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Ironi Nesher.
- Where and when is Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Ironi Nesher played?
- Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Ironi Nesher is played on September 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Baqa al-Gharbiyye Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 9, 2026Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
- Sep 9, 2026Beitar NahariyavsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
- Sep 9, 2026Hapoel Migdal HaEmekvsHapoel Beit Shean
- Sep 9, 2026TiravsHapoel Ironi Arraba
- Sep 9, 2026Hapoel Ironi KarmielvsHapoel Bnei Musmus
- Sep 9, 2026Tzeirey TamravsHapoel Umm al-Fahm
- Sep 9, 2026Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
- Sep 9, 2026Tzeirei Umm al-FahmvsMaccabi Neve Sha'anan