Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Hapoel Beit Shean: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 2Kick-off on September 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium, Migdal HaEmek
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Migdal HaEmek the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Hapoel Beit Shean. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Hapoel Beit Shean?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Hapoel Migdal HaEmek (1,711) and Hapoel Beit Shean (1,653).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Migdal HaEmek have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Hapoel Beit Shean have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(home) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away) | 2-4 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(home) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Tira(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(away) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus(away) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Beit Shean win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2025 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 0-0 Hapoel Beit Shean | Liga Alef |
| Dec 20, 2024 | Hapoel Beit Shean 1-3 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | Liga Alef |
| Jan 19, 2018 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 1-1 Hapoel Beit Shean | Liga Alef |
| Sep 8, 2017 | Hapoel Beit Shean 3-1 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | Liga Alef |
| Apr 7, 2017 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 1-0 Hapoel Beit Shean | Liga Alef |
| Dec 9, 2016 | Hapoel Beit Shean 2-2 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Hapoel Beit Shean on Nov 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Beit Shean score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 1.8 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Hapoel Beit Shean | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek sit 8th in Liga Alef (31 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Beit Shean sit 7th (32 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hapoel Beit Shean | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 27 | 32 |
| 8 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 23 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Hapoel Beit Shean?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Migdal HaEmek the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Hapoel Beit Shean.
- Where and when is Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Hapoel Beit Shean played?
- Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Hapoel Beit Shean is played on September 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 9, 2026Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
- Sep 9, 2026Beitar NahariyavsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
- Sep 9, 2026Ironi Baka El GarbiyavsIroni Nesher
- Sep 9, 2026TiravsHapoel Ironi Arraba
- Sep 9, 2026Hapoel Ironi KarmielvsHapoel Bnei Musmus
- Sep 9, 2026Tzeirey TamravsHapoel Umm al-Fahm
- Sep 9, 2026Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
- Sep 9, 2026Tzeirei Umm al-FahmvsMaccabi Neve Sha'anan