Where and when is Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm played?

Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Umm al-synthetic field, in the Liga Alef.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm: prediction and stats

Liga AlefNorth - 12Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Umm al-synthetic field, Umm al-Fahm

Hapoel Bnei Musmus

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

The Footlab model makes Hapoel Bnei Musmus the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm?

A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Hapoel Bnei Musmus (1,697) and Hapoel Umm al-Fahm (1,605).

Hapoel Bnei Musmus win43 %

Draw26 %

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Bnei Musmus have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Hapoel Umm al-Fahm have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Feb 21, 2026	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away)	2-0	Liga Alef
Feb 12, 2026	Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away)	2-1	Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026	Hapoel Beit Shean(home)	0-1	Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away)	3-2	Liga Alef
Jan 24, 2026	Tzeirey Tamra(home)	2-1	Liga Alef

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Feb 26, 2026	Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away)	0-0	Liga Alef
Feb 21, 2026	Hapoel Bnei Musmus(home)	0-2	Liga Alef
Feb 12, 2026	Hapoel Beit Shean(home)	2-3	Liga Alef
Feb 5, 2026	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(home)	1-0	Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026	Tzeirey Tamra(away)	4-2	Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Hapoel Bnei Musmus win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 21, 2026	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 0-2 Hapoel Bnei Musmus	Liga Alef
Oct 18, 2025	Hapoel Bnei Musmus 1-1 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	Liga Alef

Last archived meeting: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus on Feb 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Bnei Musmus score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Umm al-Fahm score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hapoel Bnei Musmus	1.5	1.3	3	10/15	9/15
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1.4	1.7	4	7/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hapoel Bnei Musmus sit 6th in Liga Alef (33 points from 21 matches) and Hapoel Umm al-Fahm sit 16th (11 points from 22 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	21	9	6	6	28	28	33
16	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	22	6	5	11	30	37	11

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm?: The Footlab model makes Hapoel Bnei Musmus the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm.
Where and when is Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm played?: Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Umm al-synthetic field, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.