Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 10Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Hadera Synthetic Training Complex, Hadera
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Ironi Karmiel the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Ironi Baka El Garbiya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Hapoel Ironi Karmiel (1,694) and Ironi Baka El Garbiya (1,702).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Ironi Karmiel have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Ironi Baka El Garbiya have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Tira(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus(home) | 2-3 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(home) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Ironi Baka El Garbiya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya 1-2 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel on Nov 28, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ironi Baka El Garbiya score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Ironi Baka El Garbiya | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel sit 5th in Liga Alef (33 points from 22 matches) and Ironi Baka El Garbiya sit 9th (31 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 23 | 33 |
| 9 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Ironi Karmiel the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Ironi Baka El Garbiya.
- Where and when is Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya played?
- Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya is played on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Hadera Synthetic Training Complex, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026Beitar NahariyavsTzeirey Tamra
- Nov 7, 2026Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsMaccabi Neve Sha'anan
- Nov 7, 2026Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsIroni Nesher
- Nov 7, 2026Hapoel Migdal HaEmekvsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
- Nov 7, 2026Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
- Nov 7, 2026TiravsHapoel Nazareth Illit
- Nov 7, 2026Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsHapoel Beit Shean
- Nov 7, 2026Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsHapoel Umm al-Fahm