Tira vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 10Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Tira Municipal Stadium, Tira
The Footlab model makes Tira the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Hapoel Nazareth Illit. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tira vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
Tira starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,785 vs 1,660).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tira have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Hapoel Nazareth Illit have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(away) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | Hapoel Acre(home) | 2-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Ironi Modi'in(home) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 15, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(away) | 1-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 11, 2026 | Kafr Qasim(away) | 1-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 4, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
How many goals should we expect?
Tira score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Nazareth Illit score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tira | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Hapoel Nazareth Illit | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tira | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 42 | 23 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tira vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
- The Footlab model makes Tira the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Hapoel Nazareth Illit.
- Where and when is Tira vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit played?
- Tira vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit is played on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Tira Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026Beitar NahariyavsTzeirey Tamra
- Nov 7, 2026Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsMaccabi Neve Sha'anan
- Nov 7, 2026Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsIroni Nesher
- Nov 7, 2026Hapoel Migdal HaEmekvsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
- Nov 7, 2026Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
- Nov 7, 2026Hapoel Ironi KarmielvsIroni Baka El Garbiya
- Nov 7, 2026Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsHapoel Beit Shean
- Nov 7, 2026Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsHapoel Umm al-Fahm