Match

Tira vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit: prediction and stats

Liga AlefNorth - 10Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Tira Municipal Stadium, Tira

TiraHapoel Nazareth Illit

The Footlab model makes Tira the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Hapoel Nazareth Illit. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tira vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?

Tira starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,785 vs 1,660).

Tira win50 %
Draw25 %
Hapoel Nazareth Illit win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tira have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Hapoel Nazareth Illit have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tira
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 26, 2026Hapoel Beit Shean(away)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 19, 2026Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(home)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Tzeirey Tamra(away)3-1Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Ironi Nesher(home)0-2Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away)1-0Liga Alef
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 25, 2026Hapoel Acre(home)2-2Liga Leumit
May 19, 2026Ironi Modi'in(home)0-2Liga Leumit
May 15, 2026Hapoel Afula(away)1-2Liga Leumit
May 11, 2026Kafr Qasim(away)1-1Liga Leumit
May 4, 2026Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away)0-2Liga Leumit

How many goals should we expect?

Tira score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Nazareth Illit score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tira1.70.966/157/15
Hapoel Nazareth Illit1.31.739/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Tira221336422342

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tira vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
The Footlab model makes Tira the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Hapoel Nazareth Illit.
Where and when is Tira vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit played?
Tira vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit is played on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Tira Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Tira and Hapoel Nazareth Illit

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