Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 10Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Kaukab Stadium, Kaukab Abu al-Hija
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Ironi Arraba the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Hapoel Ironi Arraba (1,583) and Hapoel Umm al-Fahm (1,605).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Ironi Arraba have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Hapoel Umm al-Fahm have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(home) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(away) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 2-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(away) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Hapoel Ironi Arraba win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 3-2 Hapoel Ironi Arraba | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba on Dec 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Ironi Arraba score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Umm al-Fahm score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 1.4 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Ironi Arraba sit 13th in Liga Alef (21 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Umm al-Fahm sit 16th (11 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 30 | 39 | 21 |
| 16 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 37 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Ironi Arraba the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm.
- Where and when is Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm played?
- Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm is played on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Kaukab Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026Beitar NahariyavsTzeirey Tamra
- Nov 7, 2026Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsMaccabi Neve Sha'anan
- Nov 7, 2026Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsIroni Nesher
- Nov 7, 2026Hapoel Migdal HaEmekvsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
- Nov 7, 2026Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
- Nov 7, 2026TiravsHapoel Nazareth Illit
- Nov 7, 2026Hapoel Ironi KarmielvsIroni Baka El Garbiya
- Nov 7, 2026Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsHapoel Beit Shean