Match

Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm: prediction and stats

Liga AlefNorth - 10Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Kaukab Stadium, Kaukab Abu al-Hija

Hapoel Ironi ArrabaHapoel Umm al-Fahm

The Footlab model makes Hapoel Ironi Arraba the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm?

A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Hapoel Ironi Arraba (1,583) and Hapoel Umm al-Fahm (1,605).

Hapoel Ironi Arraba win39 %
Draw25 %
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Ironi Arraba have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Hapoel Umm al-Fahm have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Ironi Arraba
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away)2-1Liga Alef
Feb 22, 2026Tzeirey Tamra(home)0-3Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Ironi Nesher(away)1-3Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home)2-2Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away)0-3Liga Alef
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 26, 2026Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 21, 2026Hapoel Bnei Musmus(home)0-2Liga Alef
Feb 12, 2026Hapoel Beit Shean(home)2-3Liga Alef
Feb 5, 2026Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(home)1-0Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Tzeirey Tamra(away)4-2Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Hapoel Ironi Arraba win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 5, 2025Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 3-2 Hapoel Ironi ArrabaLiga Alef

Last archived meeting: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba on Dec 5, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Ironi Arraba score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Umm al-Fahm score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hapoel Ironi Arraba1.51.9310/1512/15
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm1.41.747/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hapoel Ironi Arraba sit 13th in Liga Alef (21 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Umm al-Fahm sit 16th (11 points from 22 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Hapoel Ironi Arraba225611303921
16Hapoel Umm al-Fahm226511303711

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm?
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Ironi Arraba the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm.
Where and when is Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm played?
Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm is played on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Kaukab Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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