Where and when is Maccabi Ashdod vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda played?

Maccabi Ashdod vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda is played on December 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Ashdod Senti, in the Liga Alef.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Maccabi Ashdod vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 14Kick-off on December 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Ashdod Senti, Ašdod (Ashdod)

Maccabi Ashdod

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda

The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Maccabi Ashdod vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda?

Maccabi Ashdod starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,670 vs 1,562).

Maccabi Ashdod win45 %

Draw25 %

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Ashdod have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Hapoel Mahane Yehuda have 7, 0 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Maccabi Ashdod
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Feb 27, 2026	Hapoel Marmorek(away)	1-1	Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026	FC Jerusalem(away)	3-3	Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026	Tzeirey Tira(home)	0-3	Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026	Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(away)	3-2	Liga Alef
Jan 23, 2026	Kfar Saba 1928(home)	1-1	Liga Alef

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jan 5, 2025	Hapoel Hod HaSharon(away)	1-5	State Cup
Nov 11, 2024	Agudat Sport Ashdod(away)	0-1	State Cup
Oct 8, 2024	Hapoel Kiryat Ono(away)	2-1	State Cup
Sep 24, 2024	Maccabi Giv'at Shmuel(home)	3-1	State Cup
Sep 6, 2024	Beitar Tel Aviv Ramla(away)	4-2	State Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Maccabi Ashdod score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Mahane Yehuda score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Maccabi Ashdod	2.0	1.9	2	11/15	11/15
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	1.7	1.9	2	8/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Maccabi Ashdod	21	7	7	7	37	35	28

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Maccabi Ashdod vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda?: The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda.
Where and when is Maccabi Ashdod vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda played?: Maccabi Ashdod vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda is played on December 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Ashdod Senti, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.