Hapoel Marmorek vs Hapoel Hadera: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 1Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Rehovot Marmorek Weisgal Synthetic, Rehovot
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Hadera the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Marmorek. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Marmorek vs Hapoel Hadera?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Hapoel Marmorek (1,626) and Hapoel Hadera (1,646).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Marmorek have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Hapoel Hadera have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away) | 1-6 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Hapoel Acre(away) | 0-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 14, 2026 | Hapoel Ra'anana(home) | 3-3 | Liga Leumit |
| May 8, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(home) | 1-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 5, 2026 | Ironi Modi'in(home) | 1-0 | Liga Leumit |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Hapoel Marmorek win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Hadera win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2018 | Hapoel Marmorek 0-1 Hapoel Hadera | Liga Leumit |
| Dec 18, 2017 | Hapoel Hadera 2-3 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Leumit |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Marmorek vs Hapoel Hadera on Mar 29, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Marmorek score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Hadera score 1.1 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Marmorek | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Hapoel Hadera | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hapoel Marmorek | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 34 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Marmorek vs Hapoel Hadera?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Hadera the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Marmorek.
- Where and when is Hapoel Marmorek vs Hapoel Hadera played?
- Hapoel Marmorek vs Hapoel Hadera is played on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Rehovot Marmorek Weisgal Synthetic, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 4, 2026Maccabi AshdodvsHapoel Herzliya
- Sep 4, 2026Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Sep 4, 2026Maccabi YavnevsHapoel Azor
- Sep 5, 2026Holon YermiyahuvsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Sep 5, 2026Nordia JerusalemvsDimona
- Sep 5, 2026Shimshon Tel AvivvsBeitar Yavne
- Sep 5, 2026Tzeirey TiravsHapoel Sderot
- Sep 5, 2026Kfar Saba 1928vsFC Jerusalem