Match

Hapoel Marmorek vs Hapoel Hadera: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 1Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Rehovot Marmorek Weisgal Synthetic, Rehovot

Hapoel MarmorekHapoel Hadera

The Footlab model makes Hapoel Hadera the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Marmorek. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Marmorek vs Hapoel Hadera?

A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Hapoel Marmorek (1,626) and Hapoel Hadera (1,646).

Hapoel Marmorek win36 %
Draw27 %
Hapoel Hadera win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Marmorek have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Hapoel Hadera have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Marmorek
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Maccabi Ashdod(home)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026Hapoel Herzliya(away)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 5, 2026Beitar Yavne(away)2-0Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Holon Yermiyahu(away)2-1Liga Alef
Hapoel Hadera
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 25, 2026Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away)1-6Liga Leumit
May 19, 2026Hapoel Acre(away)0-0Liga Leumit
May 14, 2026Hapoel Ra'anana(home)3-3Liga Leumit
May 8, 2026Hapoel Afula(home)1-1Liga Leumit
May 5, 2026Ironi Modi'in(home)1-0Liga Leumit

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Hapoel Marmorek win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Hadera win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 29, 2018Hapoel Marmorek 0-1 Hapoel HaderaLiga Leumit
Dec 18, 2017Hapoel Hadera 2-3 Hapoel MarmorekLiga Leumit

Last archived meeting: Hapoel Marmorek vs Hapoel Hadera on Mar 29, 2018

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Marmorek score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Hadera score 1.1 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hapoel Marmorek0.91.347/155/15
Hapoel Hadera1.12.2210/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Hapoel Marmorek226610203424

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Marmorek vs Hapoel Hadera?
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Hadera the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Marmorek.
Where and when is Hapoel Marmorek vs Hapoel Hadera played?
Hapoel Marmorek vs Hapoel Hadera is played on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Rehovot Marmorek Weisgal Synthetic, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Hapoel Marmorek and Hapoel Hadera

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