Maccabi Ashdod vs Hapoel Herzliya: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 1Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Ashdod Senti, Ašdod (Ashdod)
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Hapoel Herzliya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Ashdod vs Hapoel Herzliya?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Maccabi Ashdod (1,688) and Hapoel Herzliya (1,637).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Ashdod have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Hapoel Herzliya have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(away) | 3-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(home) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(home) | 1-5 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Maccabi Ashdod win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Hapoel Herzliya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | Hapoel Herzliya 1-3 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
| Feb 7, 2025 | Maccabi Ashdod 2-2 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
| Oct 9, 2024 | Hapoel Herzliya 2-1 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
| Feb 26, 2024 | Maccabi Ashdod 1-0 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
| Sep 21, 2023 | Hapoel Herzliya 1-0 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
| Mar 30, 2023 | Hapoel Herzliya 1-0 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Herzliya vs Maccabi Ashdod on Dec 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Ashdod score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Herzliya score 0.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Ashdod | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Hapoel Herzliya | 0.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Ashdod sit 10th in Liga Alef (28 points from 21 matches) and Hapoel Herzliya sit 14th (22 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Maccabi Ashdod | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 28 |
| 14 | Hapoel Herzliya | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 36 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Ashdod vs Hapoel Herzliya?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Hapoel Herzliya.
- Where and when is Maccabi Ashdod vs Hapoel Herzliya played?
- Maccabi Ashdod vs Hapoel Herzliya is played on September 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Ashdod Senti, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 4, 2026Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Sep 4, 2026Maccabi YavnevsHapoel Azor
- Sep 5, 2026Hapoel MarmorekvsHapoel Hadera
- Sep 5, 2026Holon YermiyahuvsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Sep 5, 2026Nordia JerusalemvsDimona
- Sep 5, 2026Shimshon Tel AvivvsBeitar Yavne
- Sep 5, 2026Tzeirey TiravsHapoel Sderot
- Sep 5, 2026Kfar Saba 1928vsFC Jerusalem