Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 1Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Kiryat Malachi Stadium, Kiryat Malakhi
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Kiryat Malachi the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Maccabi Kiryat Malachi (1,645) and Hapoel Mahane Yehuda (1,562).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Kiryat Malachi have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Hapoel Mahane Yehuda have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025 | Hapoel Hod HaSharon(away) | 1-5 | State Cup |
| Nov 11, 2024 | Agudat Sport Ashdod(away) | 0-1 | State Cup |
| Oct 8, 2024 | Hapoel Kiryat Ono(away) | 2-1 | State Cup |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Maccabi Giv'at Shmuel(home) | 3-1 | State Cup |
| Sep 6, 2024 | Beitar Tel Aviv Ramla(away) | 4-2 | State Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Mahane Yehuda score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 27 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Kiryat Malachi the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda.
- Where and when is Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda played?
- Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda is played on September 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Kiryat Malachi Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 4, 2026Maccabi AshdodvsHapoel Herzliya
- Sep 4, 2026Maccabi YavnevsHapoel Azor
- Sep 5, 2026Hapoel MarmorekvsHapoel Hadera
- Sep 5, 2026Holon YermiyahuvsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Sep 5, 2026Nordia JerusalemvsDimona
- Sep 5, 2026Shimshon Tel AvivvsBeitar Yavne
- Sep 5, 2026Tzeirey TiravsHapoel Sderot
- Sep 5, 2026Kfar Saba 1928vsFC Jerusalem