FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Sderot: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 8Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Har Huma synthetic, Jerusalem
The Footlab AI model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Hapoel Sderot. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Jerusalem wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Sderot?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate FC Jerusalem (1,727) and Hapoel Sderot (1,647).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Sderot
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Jerusalem
Not enough data to predict the FC Jerusalem lineup.
Hapoel Sderot
Not enough data to predict the Hapoel Sderot lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Jerusalem have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Hapoel Sderot have 5, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Nordia Jerusalem(away) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Hapoel Rahat(away) | 4-1 | State Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Dimona(away) | 1-4 | Liga Alef |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Hapoel Mahane Yehuda(away) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Jerusalem score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Sderot score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Jerusalem | 2.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Hapoel Sderot | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 7/11 | 8/11 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Jerusalem | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 29 | 37 |
A question about FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Sderot?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Sderot?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Hapoel Sderot.
- Where and when is FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Sderot played?
- FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Sderot is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Har Huma synthetic, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 23, 2026Hapoel HaderavsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Oct 23, 2026Hapoel HerzliyavsHapoel Azor
- Oct 23, 2026Beitar YavnevsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Oct 23, 2026Ironi Beit ShemeshvsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Oct 23, 2026Kfar Saba 1928vsMaccabi Ashdod
- Oct 24, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsDimona
- Oct 24, 2026Hapoel MarmorekvsMaccabi Yavne
- Oct 24, 2026Holon YermiyahuvsTzeirey Tira