Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Bloomfield Stadium, Tel-Aviv
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Tel Aviv the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Hapoel Haifa. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa?
Hapoel Tel Aviv starts as the favourite with a 192-point Elo edge (2,038 vs 1,846).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Tel Aviv have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Hapoel Haifa have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Atalanta(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(away) | 2-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 12, 2026 | GKS Katowice(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | GKS Katowice(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(home) | 4-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(home) | 1-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bnei Sakhnin(away) | 2-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias(home) | 3-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa(away) | 3-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hapoel Tel Aviv win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Hapoel Haifa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | Hapoel Haifa 3-3 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Hapoel Tel Aviv 1-0 Hapoel Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
| Jan 16, 2025 | Hapoel Haifa 1-2 Hapoel Tel Aviv | State Cup |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Hapoel Haifa 4-3 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-1 Hapoel Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Hapoel Haifa 1-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Tel Aviv on Jan 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Tel Aviv score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Haifa score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Hapoel Haifa | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Tel Aviv sit 4th in Ligat Ha'al (60 points from 36 matches) and Hapoel Haifa sit 4th (34 points from 33 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Hapoel Haifa | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 39 | 51 | 34 |
| 4 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 55 | 38 | 60 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Tel Aviv the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Hapoel Haifa.
- Where and when is Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa played?
- Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa is played on December 19, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Bloomfield Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.