Ironi Tiberias vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Tiberias Municipal Stadium, Tiberias
The Footlab model makes Ironi Kiryat Shmona the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Ironi Tiberias. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ironi Tiberias vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Ironi Tiberias (1,810) and Ironi Kiryat Shmona (1,852).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ironi Tiberias have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Ironi Kiryat Shmona have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hapoel Petah Tikva(home) | 1-0 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maccabi Petah Tikva(home) | 0-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa(away) | 2-4 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(home) | 0-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Hapoel Haifa(away) | 1-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maccabi Petah Tikva(away) | 1-2 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv(home) | 1-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hapoel Haifa(away) | 3-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Bnei Sakhnin(home) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias(away) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ironi Tiberias win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Ironi Kiryat Shmona win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias 0-1 Ironi Kiryat Shmona | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias 2-0 Ironi Kiryat Shmona | Ligat Ha'al |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona 2-2 Ironi Tiberias | Ligat Ha'al |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Ironi Tiberias 2-3 Ironi Kiryat Shmona | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona 2-1 Ironi Tiberias | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona 0-2 Ironi Tiberias | Ligat Ha'al |
Last archived meeting: Ironi Tiberias vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ironi Tiberias score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ironi Kiryat Shmona score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi Tiberias | 1.4 | 1.3 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 1.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ironi Tiberias sit 14th in Ligat Ha'al (0 points from 1 matches) and Ironi Kiryat Shmona sit 10th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ironi Tiberias | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Ironi Tiberias | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ironi Tiberias vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona?
- The Footlab model makes Ironi Kiryat Shmona the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Ironi Tiberias.
- Where and when is Ironi Tiberias vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona played?
- Ironi Tiberias vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona is played on December 19, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Tiberias Municipal Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.