Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Hapoel Tel Aviv: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)National Stadium Ramat Gan, Tel Aviv
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Tel Aviv the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Hapoel Ramat Gan. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
Hapoel Tel Aviv starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (2,038 vs 1,868).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Ramat Gan have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Hapoel Tel Aviv have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa(away) | 1-2 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Beitar Jerusalem(home) | 3-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Maccabi Petah Tikva(away) | 1-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon(home) | 2-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Maccabi Netanya(away) | 3-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Atalanta(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(away) | 2-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 12, 2026 | GKS Katowice(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | GKS Katowice(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Hapoel Ramat Gan win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Hapoel Tel Aviv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2025 | Hapoel Tel Aviv 1-0 Hapoel Ramat Gan | Liga Leumit |
| Feb 25, 2025 | Hapoel Ramat Gan 0-2 Hapoel Tel Aviv | State Cup |
| Feb 7, 2025 | Hapoel Tel Aviv 1-0 Hapoel Ramat Gan | Liga Leumit |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Hapoel Ramat Gan 1-3 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Liga Leumit |
| Mar 29, 2018 | Hapoel Tel Aviv 2-0 Hapoel Ramat Gan | Liga Leumit |
| Dec 15, 2017 | Hapoel Ramat Gan 1-1 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Liga Leumit |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Ramat Gan on Apr 28, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Ramat Gan score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Tel Aviv score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Ramat Gan | 1.9 | 1.3 | 2 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Tel Aviv the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Hapoel Ramat Gan.
- Where and when is Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Hapoel Tel Aviv played?
- Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Hapoel Tel Aviv is played on December 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at National Stadium Ramat Gan, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.