Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 27Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium, Tirat Carmel
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel (1,521) and Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed (1,515).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 1-3 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed on Jan 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel score 0.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | 0.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel sit 15th in Liga Alef (12 points from 21 matches) and Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed sit 14th (17 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 36 | 17 |
| 15 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 42 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel.
- Where and when is Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed played?
- Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed is played on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 6, 2027Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsTira
- Mar 6, 2027Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsHapoel Ironi Arraba
- Mar 6, 2027Ironi NeshervsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
- Mar 6, 2027Ironi Baka El GarbiyavsHapoel Ironi Karmiel
- Mar 6, 2027Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsHapoel Bnei Musmus
- Mar 6, 2027Hapoel Beit SheanvsMaccabi K. Ata Bialik
- Mar 6, 2027Tzeirey TamravsBeitar Nahariya
- Mar 6, 2027Tzeirei Umm al-FahmvsHapoel Migdal HaEmek