Where and when is Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba played?

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba is played on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at HaShalom Stadium, in the Liga Alef.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba: prediction and stats

Liga AlefNorth - 27Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)HaShalom Stadium, Umm al-Fahm

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

Hapoel Ironi Arraba

The Footlab model makes Hapoel Umm al-Fahm the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Hapoel Ironi Arraba. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba?

A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Hapoel Umm al-Fahm (1,605) and Hapoel Ironi Arraba (1,583).

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm win40 %

Draw25 %

Hapoel Ironi Arraba win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Umm al-Fahm have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Hapoel Ironi Arraba have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Feb 26, 2026	Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away)	0-0	Liga Alef
Feb 21, 2026	Hapoel Bnei Musmus(home)	0-2	Liga Alef
Feb 12, 2026	Hapoel Beit Shean(home)	2-3	Liga Alef
Feb 5, 2026	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(home)	1-0	Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026	Tzeirey Tamra(away)	4-2	Liga Alef

Hapoel Ironi Arraba
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Feb 27, 2026	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away)	2-1	Liga Alef
Feb 22, 2026	Tzeirey Tamra(home)	0-3	Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026	Ironi Nesher(away)	1-3	Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home)	2-2	Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026	Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away)	0-3	Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Hapoel Ironi Arraba win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Dec 5, 2025	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 3-2 Hapoel Ironi Arraba	Liga Alef

Last archived meeting: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba on Dec 5, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Ironi Arraba score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1.4	1.7	4	7/15	9/15
Hapoel Ironi Arraba	1.5	1.9	3	10/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm sit 16th in Liga Alef (11 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Ironi Arraba sit 13th (21 points from 22 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	22	5	6	11	30	39	21
16	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	22	6	5	11	30	37	11

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba?: The Footlab model makes Hapoel Umm al-Fahm the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Hapoel Ironi Arraba.
Where and when is Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba played?: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba is played on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at HaShalom Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.