Where and when is Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel played?

Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel is played on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Baqa al-Gharbiyye Stadium, in the Liga Alef.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel: prediction and stats

Liga AlefNorth - 27Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Baqa al-Gharbiyye Stadium, Baqa al-Gharbiyye

Ironi Baka El Garbiya

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel

The Footlab model makes Ironi Baka El Garbiya the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Ironi Karmiel. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?

A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Ironi Baka El Garbiya (1,701) and Hapoel Ironi Karmiel (1,694).

Ironi Baka El Garbiya win37 %

Draw27 %

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ironi Baka El Garbiya have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Hapoel Ironi Karmiel have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ironi Baka El Garbiya
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Feb 27, 2026	Ironi Nesher(away)	0-0	Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home)	0-3	Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026	Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away)	0-1	Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026	Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(home)	4-1	Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away)	1-2	Liga Alef

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Feb 27, 2026	Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home)	1-2	Liga Alef
Feb 19, 2026	Tira(away)	0-0	Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(home)	1-1	Liga Alef
Feb 5, 2026	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away)	0-1	Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026	Hapoel Bnei Musmus(home)	2-3	Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Ironi Baka El Garbiya win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 28, 2025	Ironi Baka El Garbiya 1-2 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	Liga Alef

Last archived meeting: Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel on Nov 28, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Ironi Baka El Garbiya score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Ironi Karmiel score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ironi Baka El Garbiya	1.4	1.5	2	9/15	9/15
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	1.3	1.1	6	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ironi Baka El Garbiya sit 9th in Liga Alef (31 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Ironi Karmiel sit 5th (33 points from 22 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	22	9	6	7	30	23	33
9	Ironi Baka El Garbiya	22	9	4	9	33	30	31

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?: The Footlab model makes Ironi Baka El Garbiya the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Ironi Karmiel.
Where and when is Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel played?: Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel is played on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Baqa al-Gharbiyye Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.