Harborough Town vs AFC Telford United: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 9Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Bowden Park, Market Harborough, Leicestershire
The Footlab model makes Harborough Town the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for AFC Telford United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Harborough Town vs AFC Telford United?
Harborough Town starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (1,978 vs 1,826).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Harborough Town have 8 wins, 7 draws and 0 defeats; AFC Telford United have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Darlington 1883(home) | 4-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Oxford City(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Morecambe(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Stamford(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hednesford Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Merthyr Town(away) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Worksop Town(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brackley Town(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Harborough Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 AFC Telford United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | AFC Telford United 0-0 Harborough Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Harborough Town 1-2 AFC Telford United | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: AFC Telford United vs Harborough Town on Feb 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Harborough Town score 2.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Telford United score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harborough Town | 2.0 | 0.9 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| AFC Telford United | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Harborough Town sit 7th in National League - North (8 points from 4 matches) and AFC Telford United sit 22nd (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Harborough Town | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
| 22 | AFC Telford United | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Harborough Town vs AFC Telford United?
- The Footlab model makes Harborough Town the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for AFC Telford United.
- Where and when is Harborough Town vs AFC Telford United played?
- Harborough Town vs AFC Telford United is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bowden Park, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.