Morecambe vs Brackley Town: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 9Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Mazuma Stadium, Morecambe, Lancashire
The Footlab model makes Morecambe the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Brackley Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Morecambe vs Brackley Town?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Morecambe (1,655) and Brackley Town (1,686).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Morecambe have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Brackley Town have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Radcliffe(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | South Shields(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Harborough Town(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Barrow(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Macclesfield(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(home) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hebburn Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AFC Telford United(away) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Maidenhead(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Morecambe win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Brackley Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | Brackley Town 0-2 Morecambe | National League |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Morecambe 2-0 Brackley Town | National League |
Last archived meeting: Brackley Town vs Morecambe on Dec 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Morecambe score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Brackley Town score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morecambe | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Brackley Town | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Morecambe sit 24th in National League - North (1 points from 4 matches) and Brackley Town sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Brackley Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 24 | Morecambe | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Morecambe vs Brackley Town?
- The Footlab model makes Morecambe the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Brackley Town.
- Where and when is Morecambe vs Brackley Town played?
- Morecambe vs Brackley Town is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Mazuma Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.