Where and when is Buxton vs Chester played?

Buxton vs Chester is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Silverlands, in the National League - North.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Buxton vs Chester: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 9Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Silverlands, Buxton, Derbyshire

Buxton

Chester

The Footlab model makes Chester the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Buxton. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Buxton vs Chester?

A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Buxton (1,889) and Chester (1,927).

Buxton win35 %

Draw27 %

Chester win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buxton have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Chester have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Buxton
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Hebburn Town(home)	1-2	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	Bedford Town(away)	1-2	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	Southport(away)	1-1	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Hereford(home)	2-1	National League - North
Aug 1, 2026	Warrington Town(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

Chester
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Spalding United(home)	1-0	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	Darlington 1883(away)	1-0	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	King's Lynn Town(home)	2-0	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Chorley(away)	2-1	National League - North
Aug 1, 2026	Crewe(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Buxton win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Chester win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 14, 2026	Chester 1-0 Buxton	National League - North
Nov 8, 2025	Buxton 1-2 Chester	National League - North
Apr 30, 2025	Chester 2-1 Buxton	National League - North - Play-offs
Jan 11, 2025	Buxton 2-4 Chester	National League - North
Oct 22, 2024	Chester 0-1 Buxton	National League - North
Mar 29, 2024	Buxton 1-4 Chester	National League - North

Last archived meeting: Chester vs Buxton on Feb 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Buxton score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Chester score 1.3 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Buxton	2.1	1.2	4	10/15	10/15
Chester	1.3	0.3	11	3/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Buxton sit 14th in National League - North (4 points from 4 matches) and Chester sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chester	4	4	0	0	6	1	12
14	Buxton	4	1	1	2	5	6	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Buxton vs Chester?: The Footlab model makes Chester the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Buxton.
Where and when is Buxton vs Chester played?: Buxton vs Chester is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Silverlands, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.