Hercules vs Harkemase Boys: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieMatchday 20Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Voordorp (USV Hercules), Utrecht
The Footlab AI model makes Harkemase Boys the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Hercules. The most likely score is 1-1. If Harkemase Boys wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 5,926 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hercules vs Harkemase Boys?
Harkemase Boys starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,900 vs 1,790).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hercules vs Harkemase Boys
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hercules
Not enough data to predict the Hercules lineup.
Harkemase Boys
Not enough data to predict the Harkemase Boys lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 06:12 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hercules have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Harkemase Boys have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | SVZW(away) | 3-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Staphorst(home) | 4-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Eemdijk(away) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sportlust '46(home) | 0-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | DVS 33 Ermelo(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | ADO '20(away) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Excelsior '31(home) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dovo(away) | 3-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hoogeveen(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Purmersteijn(away) | 2-4 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hercules win, 0 draws, 5 Harkemase Boys wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Harkemase Boys 5-3 Hercules | Derde Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Hercules 4-0 Harkemase Boys | Derde Divisie |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Harkemase Boys 4-2 Hercules | Derde Divisie |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Harkemase Boys 3-1 Hercules | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Hercules 2-4 Harkemase Boys | Derde Divisie |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Hercules 1-2 Harkemase Boys | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Harkemase Boys vs Hercules on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hercules score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Harkemase Boys score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hercules | 1.4 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Harkemase Boys | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hercules sit 11th in Derde Divisie (16 points from 12 matches) and Harkemase Boys sit 3rd (26 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Harkemase Boys | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 16 | 26 |
| 11 | Hercules | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 16 |
A question about Hercules vs Harkemase Boys?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hercules vs Harkemase Boys?
- The Footlab AI model makes Harkemase Boys the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Hercules.
- Where and when is Hercules vs Harkemase Boys played?
- Hercules vs Harkemase Boys is played on January 23, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Voordorp (USV Hercules), in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.