Harrogate Town vs Southend: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 45Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)EnviroVent Stadium, Harrogate, North Yorkshire
The Footlab AI model makes Southend the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Harrogate Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Southend wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Harrogate Town vs Southend?
Southend starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,964 vs 1,814).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Harrogate Town vs Southend
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Harrogate Town
4-3-3- 23B. Dolaghan
- 9S. McCoulsky
- 18J. Muldoon
- 3E. Bristow
- 14M. Williams
- 11W. McGowan
- 24L. Cass
- 4A. Baptiste
- 16S. Dreyer
- 26G. Horton
- 34L. Hutchinson
Southend
4-3-3- 9H. Cardwell
- 14P. Omochere
- 27R. Colclough
- 19L. Chambers-Parillon
- 8D. Oldaker
- 4A. Hartigan
- 2V. Campbell
- 3Kyle James McAdam
- 6B. Goodliffe
- 20D. Cox
- 1J. Duncan
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:36 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Harrogate Town have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Southend have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Woking(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | AFC Hornchurch(home) | 3-0 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Hartlepool(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 4-1 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Boreham Wood(away) | 1-4 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Boston United(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | AFC Fylde(home) | 3-1 | National League |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Eastleigh(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Barrow(home) | 2-4 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Gateshead(away) | 6-1 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Harrogate Town win, 0 draws, 1 Southend win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2021 | Harrogate Town 0-1 Southend | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2020 | Southend 0-4 Harrogate Town | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Harrogate Town vs Southend on Mar 27, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Harrogate Town score 2.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Southend score 2.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrogate Town | 2.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Southend | 2.4 | 1.3 | 2 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Harrogate Town sit 2nd in National League (28 points from 13 matches) and Southend sit 3rd (27 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 28 |
| 3 | Southend | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 19 | 27 |
A question about Harrogate Town vs Southend?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Harrogate Town vs Southend?
- The Footlab AI model makes Southend the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Harrogate Town.
- Where and when is Harrogate Town vs Southend played?
- Harrogate Town vs Southend is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at EnviroVent Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.