Where and when is Hartford Athletic vs Birmingham Legion played?

Hartford Athletic vs Birmingham Legion is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Trinity Health Stadium, in the USL Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hartford Athletic vs Birmingham Legion: prediction and stats

USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Trinity Health Stadium, Hartford

Hartford Athletic

Birmingham Legion

The Footlab model makes Hartford Athletic the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Birmingham Legion. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hartford Athletic vs Birmingham Legion?

Hartford Athletic starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,789 vs 1,670).

Hartford Athletic win50 %

Draw27 %

Birmingham Legion win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hartford Athletic have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Birmingham Legion have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hartford Athletic
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Miami FC(home)	2-1	USL Championship
Aug 12, 2026	Charlotte Independence(away)	4-2	USL League One Cup
Aug 9, 2026	Indy Eleven(away)	1-1	USL Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Loudoun United(away)	0-2	USL Championship
Jul 26, 2026	Phoenix Rising(away)	0-0	USL Championship

Birmingham Legion
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Sporting JAX(home)	2-3	USL Championship
Aug 16, 2026	Colorado Springs(away)	2-3	USL Championship
Aug 2, 2026	Rhode Island(home)	1-0	USL Championship
Jul 29, 2026	Louisville City(away)	1-2	USL Championship
Jul 12, 2026	FC Tulsa(home)	3-1	USL League One Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hartford Athletic win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Birmingham Legion win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 11, 2026	Birmingham Legion 0-0 Hartford Athletic	USL Championship
Aug 10, 2025	Birmingham Legion 1-4 Hartford Athletic	USL Championship
Apr 19, 2025	Hartford Athletic 1-0 Birmingham Legion	USL Championship
Aug 3, 2024	Birmingham Legion 2-2 Hartford Athletic	USL Championship
Mar 23, 2024	Hartford Athletic 1-0 Birmingham Legion	USL Championship
Apr 30, 2023	Birmingham Legion 3-2 Hartford Athletic	USL Championship

Last archived meeting: Birmingham Legion vs Hartford Athletic on Mar 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hartford Athletic score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Birmingham Legion score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hartford Athletic	1.2	0.9	5	6/15	5/15
Birmingham Legion	1.3	1.3	3	11/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hartford Athletic sit 7th in USL Championship (17 points from 11 matches) and Birmingham Legion sit 10th (12 points from 12 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Hartford Athletic	11	4	5	2	10	10	17
8	Hartford Athletic	19	5	9	5	15	18	24
10	Birmingham Legion	12	2	6	4	13	15	12
11	Birmingham Legion	19	3	8	8	22	27	17

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hartford Athletic vs Birmingham Legion?: The Footlab model makes Hartford Athletic the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Birmingham Legion.
Where and when is Hartford Athletic vs Birmingham Legion played?: Hartford Athletic vs Birmingham Legion is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Trinity Health Stadium, in the USL Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.