Where and when is Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion played?

Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion is played on September 5, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Michael A. Carroll Stadium, in the USL Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion: prediction and stats

USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on September 5, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Michael A. Carroll Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana

Indy Eleven

Birmingham Legion

The Footlab model makes Indy Eleven the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Birmingham Legion. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion?

A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Indy Eleven (1,738) and Birmingham Legion (1,670).

Indy Eleven win47 %

Draw28 %

Birmingham Legion win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Indy Eleven have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Birmingham Legion have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Indy Eleven
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Louisville City(home)	2-1	USL Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Sporting JAX(away)	1-0	USL Championship
Aug 9, 2026	Hartford Athletic(home)	1-1	USL Championship
Aug 1, 2026	San Antonio(away)	1-3	USL Championship
Jul 25, 2026	Loudoun United(home)	0-1	USL Championship

Birmingham Legion
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Sporting JAX(home)	2-3	USL Championship
Aug 16, 2026	Colorado Springs(away)	2-3	USL Championship
Aug 2, 2026	Rhode Island(home)	1-0	USL Championship
Jul 29, 2026	Louisville City(away)	1-2	USL Championship
Jul 12, 2026	FC Tulsa(home)	3-1	USL League One Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Indy Eleven win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Birmingham Legion win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 19, 2026	Birmingham Legion 2-2 Indy Eleven	USL Championship
Sep 21, 2025	Indy Eleven 2-1 Birmingham Legion	USL Championship
Jun 28, 2025	Indy Eleven 1-1 Birmingham Legion	USL League One Cup
Jun 5, 2025	Birmingham Legion 0-1 Indy Eleven	USL Championship
Oct 19, 2024	Indy Eleven 3-2 Birmingham Legion	USL Championship
Jun 9, 2024	Birmingham Legion 0-1 Indy Eleven	USL Championship

Last archived meeting: Birmingham Legion vs Indy Eleven on Apr 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Indy Eleven score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Birmingham Legion score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Indy Eleven	1.1	1.0	5	6/15	5/15
Birmingham Legion	1.3	1.3	3	11/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Indy Eleven sit 6th in USL Championship (18 points from 11 matches) and Birmingham Legion sit 10th (12 points from 12 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Indy Eleven	11	5	3	3	16	12	18
6	Indy Eleven	19	8	4	7	23	22	28
10	Birmingham Legion	12	2	6	4	13	15	12
11	Birmingham Legion	19	3	8	8	22	27	17

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion?: The Footlab model makes Indy Eleven the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Birmingham Legion.
Where and when is Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion played?: Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion is played on September 5, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Michael A. Carroll Stadium, in the USL Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.