Match

Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island: prediction and stats

USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Trinity Health Stadium, Hartford

Hartford AthleticRhode Island

The Footlab AI model makes Hartford Athletic the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Rhode Island. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hartford Athletic wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,972 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island?

A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Hartford Athletic (1,855) and Rhode Island (1,848).

38%28%34%
Hartford Athletic winDrawRhode Island win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Hartford Athletic

3-1-4-2
  1. 17Sadat Anaku
  2. 11M. Ngalina
  1. 8Junior Moreira
  2. 19E. Samadia
  3. 2S. Anderson
  4. 16B. Coffey
  5. 7M. Adedokun
  1. 15A. Diz
  2. 5B. Njie
  3. 22T. Presthus
  1. 77A. Siaha

Rhode Island

4-3-3
  1. 8Leonardo Afonso
  2. 37Stas Kornzeniowski
  3. 11N. Fuson
  1. 18O. Foyo
  2. 77A. Shapiro-Thompson
  3. 21Z. Herivaux
  1. 15F. Nodarse
  2. 24K. Yao
  3. 3A. Sanchez
  4. 22N. Scardina
  1. 1Koke Vegas

Computed on October 22, 2026 at 03:41 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hartford Athletic have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Rhode Island have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hartford Athletic
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Brooklyn(home)2-3USL Championship
Oct 14, 2026Charleston Battery(home)1-1USL Championship
Oct 10, 2026Pittsburgh Riverhounds(away)1-2USL Championship
Oct 4, 2026Louisville City(home)0-1USL League One Cup
Sep 25, 2026Louisville City(home)2-2USL Championship
Rhode Island
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Pittsburgh Riverhounds(home)1-1USL Championship
Oct 14, 2026Loudoun United(home)1-0USL Championship
Oct 10, 2026Detroit City(away)0-1USL Championship
Oct 3, 2026Brooklyn(away)3-1USL Championship
Sep 30, 2026Indy Eleven(home)1-0USL Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hartford Athletic win, 3 draws, 2 Rhode Island wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 18, 2026Rhode Island 1-0 Hartford AthleticUSL Championship
Apr 25, 2026Hartford Athletic 0-0 Rhode IslandUSL League One Cup
Apr 1, 2026Rhode Island 2-0 Hartford AthleticUS Open Cup
Aug 23, 2025Hartford Athletic 3-0 Rhode IslandUSL Championship
Jul 26, 2025Rhode Island 2-2 Hartford AthleticUSL League One Cup
Jul 19, 2025Rhode Island 0-0 Hartford AthleticUSL Championship

Last archived meeting: Rhode Island vs Hartford Athletic on Jul 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hartford Athletic score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Rhode Island score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hartford Athletic1.81.3113/159/15
Rhode Island1.10.955/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hartford Athletic sit 7th in USL Championship (40 points from 29 matches) and Rhode Island sit 5th (42 points from 29 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Rhode Island2912611413142
7Hartford Athletic299137333240

A question about Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island?
The Footlab AI model makes Hartford Athletic the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Rhode Island.
Where and when is Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island played?
Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Trinity Health Stadium, in the USL Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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