Where and when is Hartford Athletic vs Sporting JAX played?

Hartford Athletic vs Sporting JAX is played on September 16, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Trinity Health Stadium, in the USL Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hartford Athletic vs Sporting JAX: prediction and stats

USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on September 16, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Trinity Health Stadium, Hartford

Hartford Athletic

Sporting JAX

The Footlab model makes Hartford Athletic the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Sporting JAX. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hartford Athletic vs Sporting JAX?

Hartford Athletic starts as the favourite with a 169-point Elo edge (1,804 vs 1,634).

Hartford Athletic win64 %

Draw22 %

Sporting JAX win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hartford Athletic have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Sporting JAX have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hartford Athletic
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Miami FC(home)	2-1	USL Championship
Aug 12, 2026	Charlotte Independence(away)	4-2	USL League One Cup
Aug 9, 2026	Indy Eleven(away)	1-1	USL Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Loudoun United(away)	0-2	USL Championship
Jul 26, 2026	Phoenix Rising(away)	0-0	USL Championship

Sporting JAX
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Birmingham Legion(away)	3-2	USL Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Indy Eleven(home)	0-1	USL Championship
Aug 2, 2026	Sacramento Republic(away)	0-5	USL Championship
Jul 26, 2026	El Paso Locomotive(away)	0-2	USL Championship
Jul 18, 2026	Brooklyn(home)	2-2	USL Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Hartford Athletic win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Sporting JAX win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 8, 2026	Sporting JAX 0-3 Hartford Athletic	USL Championship

Last archived meeting: Sporting JAX vs Hartford Athletic on Mar 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hartford Athletic score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting JAX score 1.5 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hartford Athletic	1.2	0.9	5	6/15	5/15
Sporting JAX	1.5	2.5	1	10/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hartford Athletic sit 7th in USL Championship (17 points from 11 matches) and Sporting JAX sit 13th (3 points from 13 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Hartford Athletic	11	4	5	2	10	10	17
8	Hartford Athletic	19	5	9	5	15	18	24
13	Sporting JAX	13	0	3	10	15	34	3
13	Sporting JAX	21	2	5	14	26	54	11

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hartford Athletic vs Sporting JAX?: The Footlab model makes Hartford Athletic the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Sporting JAX.
Where and when is Hartford Athletic vs Sporting JAX played?: Hartford Athletic vs Sporting JAX is played on September 16, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Trinity Health Stadium, in the USL Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.