Where and when is Sporting JAX vs Loudoun United played?

Sporting JAX vs Loudoun United is played on September 26, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC), in the USL Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Sporting JAX vs Loudoun United: prediction and stats

USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on September 26, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)

Sporting JAX

Loudoun United

The Footlab model makes Sporting JAX the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Loudoun United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sporting JAX vs Loudoun United?

A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Sporting JAX (1,619) and Loudoun United (1,660).

Sporting JAX win38 %

Draw26 %

Loudoun United win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting JAX have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Loudoun United have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sporting JAX
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Birmingham Legion(away)	3-2	USL Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Indy Eleven(home)	0-1	USL Championship
Aug 2, 2026	Sacramento Republic(away)	0-5	USL Championship
Jul 26, 2026	El Paso Locomotive(away)	0-2	USL Championship
Jul 18, 2026	Brooklyn(home)	2-2	USL Championship

Loudoun United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	New Mexico United(home)	0-0	USL Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Detroit City(away)	0-0	USL Championship
Aug 8, 2026	Charleston Battery(home)	0-1	USL Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Hartford Athletic(home)	2-0	USL Championship
Jul 25, 2026	Indy Eleven(away)	1-0	USL Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Sporting JAX win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Loudoun United win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 3, 2026	Loudoun United 2-2 Sporting JAX	USL Championship

Last archived meeting: Loudoun United vs Sporting JAX on Jul 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sporting JAX score 1.5 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Loudoun United score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Sporting JAX	1.5	2.5	1	10/15	10/15
Loudoun United	0.9	1.5	6	7/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sporting JAX sit 13th in USL Championship (3 points from 13 matches) and Loudoun United sit 12th (9 points from 11 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Loudoun United	20	3	11	6	21	30	20
12	Loudoun United	11	1	6	4	13	21	9
13	Sporting JAX	13	0	3	10	15	34	3
13	Sporting JAX	21	2	5	14	26	54	11

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sporting JAX vs Loudoun United?: The Footlab model makes Sporting JAX the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Loudoun United.
Where and when is Sporting JAX vs Loudoun United played?: Sporting JAX vs Loudoun United is played on September 26, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC), in the USL Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.