Hartlepool vs Sutton Utd: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 36Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Suit Direct Stadium, Hartlepool, County Durham
The Footlab model makes Hartlepool the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Sutton Utd. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hartlepool vs Sutton Utd?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Hartlepool (1,763) and Sutton Utd (1,774).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hartlepool have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Sutton Utd have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sutton Utd(away) | 1-2 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aldershot Town(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Middlesbrough U21(home) | 0-10 | National League Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Barrow(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hartlepool(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Leicester City U21(home) | 0-0 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Altrincham(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Woking(away) | 3-0 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Southampton U21(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hartlepool win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Sutton Utd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sutton Utd 2-1 Hartlepool | National League |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Hartlepool 0-2 Sutton Utd | National League |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Sutton Utd 3-3 Hartlepool | National League |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Sutton Utd 1-2 Hartlepool | National League |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Hartlepool 4-3 Sutton Utd | National League |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Hartlepool 2-2 Sutton Utd | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Sutton Utd vs Hartlepool on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hartlepool score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sutton Utd score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hartlepool | 1.4 | 2.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Sutton Utd | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hartlepool sit 5th in National League (6 points from 3 matches) and Sutton Utd sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sutton Utd | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | Hartlepool | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hartlepool vs Sutton Utd?
- The Footlab model makes Hartlepool the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Sutton Utd.
- Where and when is Hartlepool vs Sutton Utd played?
- Hartlepool vs Sutton Utd is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Suit Direct Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.