Sutton Utd vs Gateshead: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 37Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)VBS Community Stadium, Sutton, Surrey
The Footlab AI model makes Sutton Utd the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Gateshead. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sutton Utd wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sutton Utd vs Gateshead?
Sutton Utd starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,759 vs 1,641).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sutton Utd vs Gateshead
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sutton Utd
4-3-3- 9T. Babalola
- 16B. Njoku
- 18D. Ogbonna
- 8J. Taylor
- 7E. Osadebe
- 14O. Mussa
- 5W. Nightingale
- 27B. Brookes
- 15J. Moore-Taylor
- 12D. Urpens
- 1S. Brits
Gateshead
4-3-3- 21M. Spellman
- 7J. Hiwula
- 29F. Issaka
- 4Josh Home
- 20F. John
- 25A. McCalmont
- 5A. Lankshear
- 3D. Ferguson
- 28H. Holgate
- 6Jack Robinson
- 12P. Jameson
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sutton Utd have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Gateshead have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | West Bromwich Albion U21(home) | 3-2 | National League Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Boreham Wood(home) | 0-2 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Tamworth(away) | 0-2 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Forest Green(home) | 3-3 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Wolves U21(home) | 0-0 | National League Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(away) | 1-4 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Worthing(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Altrincham(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Wealdstone(away) | 0-4 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sutton Utd wins, 1 draw, 2 Gateshead wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | Gateshead 0-1 Sutton Utd | National League |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Gateshead 1-1 Sutton Utd | National League |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Sutton Utd 4-2 Gateshead | National League |
| Feb 18, 2025 | Gateshead 4-3 Sutton Utd | National League |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Sutton Utd 0-1 Gateshead | National League |
| Mar 16, 2019 | Sutton Utd 4-2 Gateshead | National League |
Last archived meeting: Gateshead vs Sutton Utd on Aug 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sutton Utd score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Gateshead score 0.6 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sutton Utd | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Gateshead | 0.6 | 2.2 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sutton Utd sit 13th in National League (18 points from 13 matches) and Gateshead sit 24th (4 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Sutton Utd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 18 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 31 | 4 |
A question about Sutton Utd vs Gateshead?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sutton Utd vs Gateshead?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sutton Utd the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Gateshead.
- Where and when is Sutton Utd vs Gateshead played?
- Sutton Utd vs Gateshead is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at VBS Community Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.