Eastleigh vs Hartlepool: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 37Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Silverlake Stadium, Eastleigh, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes Hartlepool the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Eastleigh. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eastleigh vs Hartlepool?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Eastleigh (1,695) and Hartlepool (1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eastleigh have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Hartlepool have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 3-2 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 0-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gateshead(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Crawley Town(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sutton Utd(away) | 1-2 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aldershot Town(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Middlesbrough U21(home) | 0-10 | National League Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Barrow(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Eastleigh win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Hartlepool win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Hartlepool 1-0 Eastleigh | National League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Eastleigh 0-2 Hartlepool | National League |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Eastleigh 1-1 Hartlepool | National League |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Hartlepool 0-0 Eastleigh | National League |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Eastleigh 1-1 Hartlepool | National League |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Hartlepool 3-1 Eastleigh | National League |
Last archived meeting: Hartlepool vs Eastleigh on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Eastleigh score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Hartlepool score 1.4 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastleigh | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Hartlepool | 1.4 | 2.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eastleigh sit 8th in National League (6 points from 3 matches) and Hartlepool sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hartlepool | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Eastleigh | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eastleigh vs Hartlepool?
- The Footlab model makes Hartlepool the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Eastleigh.
- Where and when is Eastleigh vs Hartlepool played?
- Eastleigh vs Hartlepool is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Silverlake Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.