Eastleigh vs Hartlepool: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 37Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Silverlake Stadium, Eastleigh, Hampshire
The Footlab AI model makes Hartlepool the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Eastleigh. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hartlepool wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,788 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eastleigh vs Hartlepool?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Eastleigh (1,743) and Hartlepool (1,731).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Eastleigh vs Hartlepool
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Eastleigh
4-3-3- 11A. Blair
- 7Max Dickov
- 23Hady Ghandour
- 24J. Cousins
- 8J. Lundstram
- 4Harry Sidwell
- 18T. Dobson-Ventura
- 27Reece Johnson
- 2J. Caprice
- 6T. Eweka
- 1N. Townsend
Hartlepool
4-3-3- 19C. Popov
- 10W. Harris
- 9J. Hugill
- 42Cole Deeming
- 4J. Hunter
- 14N. Sheron
- 6R. McNally
- 12Neo Eccleston
- 3C. John
- 2J. Benn
- 32N. Fisher
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 04:37 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eastleigh have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Hartlepool have 3, 0 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Brentwood Town(home) | 3-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | AFC Hornchurch(away) | 0-2 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Woking(home) | 1-3 | National League |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Southend(home) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Harrogate Town(away) | 1-4 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Marine(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Newcastle United U21(home) | 1-2 | National League Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Forest Green(away) | 4-2 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Harrogate Town(home) | 0-1 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Eastleigh win, 3 draws, 2 Hartlepool wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | Hartlepool 0-1 Eastleigh | National League |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Hartlepool 1-0 Eastleigh | National League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Eastleigh 0-2 Hartlepool | National League |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Eastleigh 1-1 Hartlepool | National League |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Hartlepool 0-0 Eastleigh | National League |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Eastleigh 1-1 Hartlepool | National League |
Last archived meeting: Hartlepool vs Eastleigh on Aug 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Eastleigh score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hartlepool score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastleigh | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Hartlepool | 0.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eastleigh sit 17th in National League (15 points from 13 matches) and Hartlepool sit 20th (12 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Eastleigh | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 15 |
| 20 | Hartlepool | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 12 |
A question about Eastleigh vs Hartlepool?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eastleigh vs Hartlepool?
- The Footlab AI model makes Hartlepool the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Eastleigh.
- Where and when is Eastleigh vs Hartlepool played?
- Eastleigh vs Hartlepool is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Silverlake Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.