Barrow vs Harrogate Town: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 36Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)SO Legal Stadium, Barrow-in-Furness, Cumbria
The Footlab AI model makes Barrow the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Harrogate Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Barrow wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barrow vs Harrogate Town?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Barrow (1,759) and Harrogate Town (1,814).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Barrow vs Harrogate Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Barrow
4-3-3- 14Sebastian Blake Thompson
- 9A. Reid
- 19A. Allen
- 26R. Harper
- 5C. Edwards
- 27I. Marriott
- 25P. Kalambayi
- 2M. Oakley
- 36T. Latty-Fairweather
- 6K. Digie
- 1B. Winterbottom
Harrogate Town
4-3-3- 23B. Dolaghan
- 9S. McCoulsky
- 18J. Muldoon
- 3E. Bristow
- 14M. Williams
- 11W. McGowan
- 24L. Cass
- 4A. Baptiste
- 16S. Dreyer
- 26G. Horton
- 34L. Hutchinson
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 12:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barrow have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Harrogate Town have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tamworth(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Wealdstone(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 3-0 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Southend(away) | 4-2 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aldershot Town(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Woking(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | AFC Hornchurch(home) | 3-0 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Hartlepool(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 4-1 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Boreham Wood(away) | 1-4 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Barrow win, 2 draws, 3 Harrogate Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Harrogate Town 2-2 Barrow | National League |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Barrow 0-1 Harrogate Town | League Two |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Harrogate Town 1-0 Barrow | League Two |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Barrow 0-2 Harrogate Town | League Two |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Harrogate Town 0-1 Barrow | League Two |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Barrow 0-0 Harrogate Town | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Harrogate Town vs Barrow on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Barrow score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Harrogate Town score 2.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrow | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Harrogate Town | 2.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barrow sit 8th in National League (21 points from 13 matches) and Harrogate Town sit 2nd (28 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 28 |
| 8 | Barrow | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 21 |
A question about Barrow vs Harrogate Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barrow vs Harrogate Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Barrow the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Harrogate Town.
- Where and when is Barrow vs Harrogate Town played?
- Barrow vs Harrogate Town is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at SO Legal Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.