Hartlepool vs Woking: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Suit Direct Stadium, Hartlepool, County Durham
The Footlab model makes Woking the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Hartlepool. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hartlepool vs Woking?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Hartlepool (1,769) and Woking (1,812).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hartlepool have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Woking have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sutton Utd(away) | 1-2 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aldershot Town(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Middlesbrough U21(home) | 0-10 | National League Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Barrow(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | AFC Fylde(home) | 3-2 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | West Bromwich Albion U21(home) | 0-0 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gateshead(away) | 0-2 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sutton Utd(home) | 0-3 | National League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Reading(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hartlepool win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Woking win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | Woking 4-0 Hartlepool | National League |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Hartlepool 3-0 Woking | National League |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Hartlepool 1-1 Woking | National League |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Woking 3-2 Hartlepool | National League |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Woking 1-1 Hartlepool | National League |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Hartlepool 0-2 Woking | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
Hartlepool score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Woking score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hartlepool | 1.4 | 2.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Woking | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hartlepool sit 5th in National League (6 points from 3 matches) and Woking sit 18th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hartlepool | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 18 | Woking | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hartlepool vs Woking?
- The Footlab model makes Woking the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Hartlepool.
- Where and when is Hartlepool vs Woking played?
- Hartlepool vs Woking is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Suit Direct Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.