Yate Town vs Hanwell Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Jelf Stadium, Yate, South Gloucestershire
The Footlab model makes Yate Town the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Hanwell Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yate Town vs Hanwell Town?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Yate Town (1,778) and Hanwell Town (1,757).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yate Town have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Hanwell Town have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bracknell Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chippenham Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Leamington(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gloucester City(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Malvern Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Aldershot Town(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Yate Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Hanwell Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Yate Town 2-0 Hanwell Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Hanwell Town 3-0 Yate Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Feb 7, 2023 | Hanwell Town 3-1 Yate Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Yate Town 2-3 Hanwell Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Yate Town vs Hanwell Town on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Yate Town score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hanwell Town score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yate Town | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Hanwell Town | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yate Town sit 4th in Non League Premier - Southern South (8 points from 4 matches) and Hanwell Town sit 13th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Yate Town | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 13 | Hanwell Town | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yate Town vs Hanwell Town?
- The Footlab model makes Yate Town the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Hanwell Town.
- Where and when is Yate Town vs Hanwell Town played?
- Yate Town vs Hanwell Town is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Jelf Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Taunton TownvsChertsey Town
- Nov 21, 2026BerkhamstedvsFrome Town
- Nov 21, 2026UxbridgevsGloucester City
- Nov 21, 2026Chichester CityvsBasingstoke Town
- Nov 21, 2026SholingvsEvesham United
- Nov 21, 2026Gosport BoroughvsHavant & Wville
- Nov 21, 2026Wimborne TownvsBath City
- Nov 21, 2026Chippenham TownvsBracknell Town