Penybont vs Haverfordwest County AFC: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueMatchday 17Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)SDM Glass Stadium, Bridgend, Bridgend County Borough
The Footlab AI model makes Penybont the favourite at 69%, against 20% for a draw and 11% for Haverfordwest County AFC. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,206 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Penybont vs Haverfordwest County AFC?
Penybont starts as the favourite with a 176-point Elo edge (1,525 vs 1,349).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Penybont vs Haverfordwest County AFC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Penybont
4-3-3- 23T. Walker
- 7N. Wood
- 20M. Manga
- 4T. Mehew
- 19R. Hill
- 8Owen Robert Pritchard
- 32L. Shephard
- 6M. Davies
- 3M. Melbourne
- 17D. Jefferies
- 25A. Pennock
Haverfordwest County AFC
4-3-3- 28B. Ahmun
- 22J. Wilson
- 27H. Thomas
- 10D. Hawkins
- 18G. Walters
- 16C. Twose
- 3R. Abbruzzese
- 2D. Rees
- 25J. Walker
- 17K. McCarthy
- 1I. Knott
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 07:07 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penybont have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Haverfordwest County AFC have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(home) | 6-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 6, 2026 | Caernarfon Town(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cardiff MET(away) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Afan Lido(away) | 3-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Barry Town(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(home) | 3-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 6, 2026 | Cardiff MET(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Barry Town(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Cardiff Corinthians(home) | 4-0 | Welsh Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Penybont wins, 1 draw, 0 Haverfordwest County AFC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC 0-3 Penybont | Premier League |
| May 2, 2026 | Penybont 2-0 Haverfordwest County AFC | Premier League |
| Oct 7, 2025 | Penybont 2-1 Haverfordwest County AFC | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Haverfordwest County AFC 0-1 Penybont | Premier League |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Haverfordwest County AFC 1-2 Penybont | Premier League |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Penybont 0-0 Haverfordwest County AFC | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Haverfordwest County AFC vs Penybont on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Penybont score 2.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Haverfordwest County AFC score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penybont | 2.6 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Haverfordwest County AFC | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penybont sit 3rd in Premier League (36 points from 15 matches) and Haverfordwest County AFC sit 11th (16 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Penybont | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 32 | 11 | 36 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 23 | 16 |
A question about Penybont vs Haverfordwest County AFC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Penybont vs Haverfordwest County AFC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Penybont the favourite at 69%, against 20% for a draw and 11% for Haverfordwest County AFC.
- Where and when is Penybont vs Haverfordwest County AFC played?
- Penybont vs Haverfordwest County AFC is played on November 20, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at SDM Glass Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.