Heart of Lions vs Ashanti Gold: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kpandu Stadium, Kpandu
The Footlab model makes Heart of Lions the favourite at 50%, against 30% for a draw and 20% for Ashanti Gold. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Heart of Lions vs Ashanti Gold?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Heart of Lions (1,580) and Ashanti Gold (1,631).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heart of Lions have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Ashanti Gold have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Medeama(away) | 2-5 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Samartex(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Nations(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Aduana Stars(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Karela(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | King Faisal(away) | 1-0 | Division One League |
| May 10, 2026 | PAC Academy(home) | 2-1 | Division One League |
| May 3, 2026 | Nsuopun Fidelity(away) | 0-3 | Division One League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Skyy(home) | 4-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Rospak(away) | 1-0 | Division One League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Heart of Lions win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Ashanti Gold win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2015 | Heart of Lions 2-1 Ashanti Gold | Premier League |
| Feb 25, 2015 | Ashanti Gold 2-2 Heart of Lions | Premier League |
| Jun 4, 2014 | Ashanti Gold 3-1 Heart of Lions | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2013 | Heart of Lions 0-0 Ashanti Gold | Premier League |
| May 8, 2013 | Ashanti Gold 3-2 Heart of Lions | Premier League |
| Nov 4, 2012 | Heart of Lions 0-1 Ashanti Gold | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Heart of Lions vs Ashanti Gold on Jul 19, 2015
How many goals should we expect?
Heart of Lions score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ashanti Gold score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Lions | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Ashanti Gold | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heart of Lions | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 33 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Heart of Lions vs Ashanti Gold?
- The Footlab model makes Heart of Lions the favourite at 50%, against 30% for a draw and 20% for Ashanti Gold.
- Where and when is Heart of Lions vs Ashanti Gold played?
- Heart of Lions vs Ashanti Gold is played on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kpandu Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.