Debibi United vs Medeama: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Presby Park, Debibi
The Footlab model makes Debibi United the favourite at 51%, against 30% for a draw and 20% for Medeama. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Debibi United vs Medeama?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Debibi United (1,605) and Medeama (1,661).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Debibi United have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Medeama have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Tamale City(away) | 3-1 | Division One League |
| May 2, 2026 | Dormaa(home) | 0-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | KAC Soccer(away) | 0-0 | Division One League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Berekum Arsenal(home) | 4-0 | Division One League |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Mighty Royals(away) | 1-2 | Division One League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | ASEC Mimosas(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SOA(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 27, 2026 | Basake Holy Stars(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Hearts of Oak(away) | 2-4 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Heart of Lions(home) | 5-2 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Debibi United score 1.8 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Medeama score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debibi United | 1.8 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Medeama | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Medeama | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 52 | 28 | 62 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Debibi United vs Medeama?
- The Footlab model makes Debibi United the favourite at 51%, against 30% for a draw and 20% for Medeama.
- Where and when is Debibi United vs Medeama played?
- Debibi United vs Medeama is played on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Presby Park, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.