Dreams vs Hearts of Oak: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Dawu Sports Stadium, Accra
The Footlab model makes Dreams the favourite at 52%, against 30% for a draw and 18% for Hearts of Oak. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dreams vs Hearts of Oak?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Dreams (1,663) and Hearts of Oak (1,637).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dreams have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Hearts of Oak have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Nations(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| May 24, 2026 | Basake Holy Stars(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Bibiani Gold Stars(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Berekum Chelsea(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Bechem United(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Medeama(home) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Samartex(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Aduana Stars(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Karela(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Nations(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Dreams win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Hearts of Oak win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | Hearts of Oak 0-0 Dreams | Premier League |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Dreams 0-1 Hearts of Oak | Premier League |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Hearts of Oak 0-1 Dreams | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Dreams 0-0 Hearts of Oak | Premier League |
| Mar 14, 2024 | Dreams 2-2 Hearts of Oak | Premier League |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Hearts of Oak 0-0 Dreams | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Hearts of Oak vs Dreams on Jan 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dreams score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Hearts of Oak score 0.9 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dreams | 1.9 | 0.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Hearts of Oak | 0.9 | 0.5 | 10 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dreams sit 4th in Premier League (52 points from 34 matches) and Hearts of Oak sit 3rd (54 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hearts of Oak | 34 | 13 | 15 | 6 | 25 | 15 | 54 |
| 4 | Dreams | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 49 | 32 | 52 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dreams vs Hearts of Oak?
- The Footlab model makes Dreams the favourite at 52%, against 30% for a draw and 18% for Hearts of Oak.
- Where and when is Dreams vs Hearts of Oak played?
- Dreams vs Hearts of Oak is played on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Dawu Sports Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.