Heart Of Midlothian vs Hibernian: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh
The Footlab model makes Heart Of Midlothian the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Hibernian. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Heart Of Midlothian vs Hibernian?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Heart Of Midlothian (2,023) and Hibernian (1,960).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heart Of Midlothian have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Hibernian have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Rapid Vienna(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Inverness CT(home) | 6-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Benfica(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dundee Utd(home) | 4-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Benfica(away) | 1-6 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Gent(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Partick(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Shkendija(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Shkendija(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Heart Of Midlothian win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Hibernian win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Hibernian 1-2 Heart Of Midlothian | Premiership |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian 1-0 Hibernian | Premiership |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Hibernian 3-2 Heart Of Midlothian | Premiership |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Heart Of Midlothian 1-0 Hibernian | Premiership |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Hibernian 2-1 Heart Of Midlothian | Premiership |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Heart Of Midlothian 1-2 Hibernian | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Hibernian vs Heart Of Midlothian on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Heart Of Midlothian score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hibernian score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart Of Midlothian | 1.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Hibernian | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Heart Of Midlothian sit 5th in Premiership (3 points from 2 matches) and Hibernian sit 7th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Hibernian | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Heart Of Midlothian vs Hibernian?
- The Footlab model makes Heart Of Midlothian the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Hibernian.
- Where and when is Heart Of Midlothian vs Hibernian played?
- Heart Of Midlothian vs Hibernian is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tynecastle Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.