Hibernian vs ST Mirren: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 30, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Easter Road Stadium, Edinburgh
The Footlab AI model makes Hibernian the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for ST Mirren. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,623 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hibernian vs ST Mirren?
On Elo ratings, Hibernian has 1,885 points and ST Mirren 1,796.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hibernian vs ST Mirren
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hibernian
4-2-3-1- 7O. Elding
- 8J. Mulligan
- 14M. Chaiwa
- 18T. Klidje
- 10M. Boyle
- 23C. Wright
- 25F. Passlack
- 6J. Kerr
- 3A. Mayor
- 5M. Ivezić
- 1R. Sallinger
ST Mirren
4-2-3-1- 88K. Phillips
- 8R. Carr
- 19Ismeal Kabia
- 48P. Nsio
- 30F. Taylor
- 23C. Mochrie
- 13A. Gogić
- 3D. John
- 47C. Ramsay
- 53Henry Fieldson
- 1J. Chapman
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 01:40 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hibernian have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; ST Mirren have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Falkirk(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dundee Utd(away) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aberdeen(home) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Kilmarnock(home) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ross County(away) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Aberdeen(away) | 1-3 | Premiership |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(away) | 0-5 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dundee Utd(home) | 0-3 | Premiership |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Celtic(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hibernian wins, 3 draws, 1 ST Mirren win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Hibernian 2-0 ST Mirren | Premiership |
| Nov 8, 2025 | ST Mirren 0-3 Hibernian | Premiership |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Hibernian 1-1 ST Mirren | Premiership |
| May 14, 2025 | ST Mirren 2-2 Hibernian | Premiership |
| Feb 16, 2025 | ST Mirren 0-0 Hibernian | Premiership |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Hibernian 1-2 ST Mirren | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Hibernian vs ST Mirren on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hibernian score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; ST Mirren score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hibernian | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| ST Mirren | 1.7 | 1.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hibernian sit 12th in Premiership (7 points from 9 matches) and ST Mirren sit 8th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | ST Mirren | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 10 |
| 12 | Hibernian | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 7 |
A question about Hibernian vs ST Mirren?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hibernian vs ST Mirren?
- The Footlab AI model makes Hibernian the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for ST Mirren.
- Where and when is Hibernian vs ST Mirren played?
- Hibernian vs ST Mirren is played on December 30, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Easter Road Stadium, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.