Dundee vs ST Mirren: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Scot Foam Stadium at Dens Park, Dundee
The Footlab AI model makes Dundee the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for ST Mirren. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dundee wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dundee vs ST Mirren?
On Elo ratings, Dundee has 1,875 points and ST Mirren 1,856.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dundee vs ST Mirren
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dundee
4-4-2- 21B. Fink
- 19J. Westley
- 48E. Hamilton
- 14A. Forrest
- 28C. Jones
- 27J. Bevan
- 4R. Astley
- 5O. Bevan
- 7D. Wright
- 12I. Samuels
- 1O. Goodman
ST Mirren
4-2-3-1- 88K. Phillips
- 8R. Carr
- 19Ismeal Kabia
- 30F. Taylor
- 48P. Nsio
- 23C. Mochrie
- 13A. Gogić
- 3D. John
- 53Henry Fieldson
- 47C. Ramsay
- 1J. Chapman
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 06:07 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dundee have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; ST Mirren have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Falkirk(away) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Motherwell(home) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Sep 2, 2026 | ST Johnstone(home) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Hibernian(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(away) | 0-5 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dundee Utd(home) | 0-3 | Premiership |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Celtic(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Kilmarnock(away) | 1-0 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Dundee wins, 1 draw, 1 ST Mirren win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Dundee 1-0 ST Mirren | Premiership |
| Jan 31, 2026 | ST Mirren 0-0 Dundee | Premiership |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Dundee 3-1 ST Mirren | Premiership |
| Sep 27, 2025 | ST Mirren 1-0 Dundee | Premiership |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Dundee 2-0 ST Mirren | Premiership |
| Dec 29, 2024 | ST Mirren 1-2 Dundee | Premiership |
How many goals should we expect?
Dundee score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; ST Mirren score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| ST Mirren | 1.7 | 1.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dundee sit 4th in Premiership (13 points from 8 matches) and ST Mirren sit 7th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dundee | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | ST Mirren | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 10 |
A question about Dundee vs ST Mirren?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dundee vs ST Mirren?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dundee the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for ST Mirren.
- Where and when is Dundee vs ST Mirren played?
- Dundee vs ST Mirren is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Scot Foam Stadium at Dens Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.