Hebar 1918 vs Fratria: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Georgi Benkovski, Pazardzhik
The Footlab model makes Fratria the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Hebar 1918. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hebar 1918 vs Fratria?
Fratria starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,725 vs 1,565).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hebar 1918 have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Fratria have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(away) | 3-2 | Second League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(away) | 3-4 | Second League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Vihren(home) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Beroe(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Beroe(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Marek(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Hebar 1918 win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Fratria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | Fratria 3-2 Hebar 1918 | Second League |
| Aug 5, 2025 | Hebar 1918 1-3 Fratria | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Hebar 1918 score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Fratria score 1.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hebar 1918 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Fratria | 1.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hebar 1918 sit 12th in Second League (6 points from 5 matches) and Fratria sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fratria | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 12 | Hebar 1918 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hebar 1918 vs Fratria?
- The Footlab model makes Fratria the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Hebar 1918.
- Where and when is Hebar 1918 vs Fratria played?
- Hebar 1918 vs Fratria is played on September 2, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Georgi Benkovski, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 2, 2026BeroevsMontana
- Sep 2, 2026CSKA Sofia IIvsSpartak Pleven
- Sep 2, 2026Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsavsDobrudzha
- Sep 2, 2026VihrenvsEtar Veliko Tarnovo
- Sep 2, 2026Yantra 2019vsPirin Blagoevgrad
- Sep 2, 2026Chernomorets 1919 BurgasvsLudogorets II
- Sep 2, 2026MarekvsNesebar
- Sep 2, 2026Rilski SportistvsSportist Svoge