Rilski Sportist vs Sportist Svoge: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Iskar, Samokov
The Footlab model makes Rilski Sportist the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Sportist Svoge. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rilski Sportist vs Sportist Svoge?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Rilski Sportist (1,583) and Sportist Svoge (1,546).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rilski Sportist have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Sportist Svoge have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Montana(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Spartak Pleven(home) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fratria(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ludogorets II(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nesebar(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dobrudzha(away) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Montana(home) | 2-2 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Rilski Sportist win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Sportist Svoge win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2019 | Sportist Svoge 2-0 Rilski Sportist | Third League - Southwest |
| Mar 30, 2019 | Sportist Svoge 4-2 Rilski Sportist | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Rilski Sportist 1-0 Sportist Svoge | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Sportist Svoge vs Rilski Sportist on Nov 23, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Rilski Sportist score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sportist Svoge score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rilski Sportist | 1.0 | 1.2 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Sportist Svoge | 0.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rilski Sportist sit 14th in Second League (5 points from 5 matches) and Sportist Svoge sit 16th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Rilski Sportist | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 16 | Sportist Svoge | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rilski Sportist vs Sportist Svoge?
- The Footlab model makes Rilski Sportist the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Sportist Svoge.
- Where and when is Rilski Sportist vs Sportist Svoge played?
- Rilski Sportist vs Sportist Svoge is played on September 2, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Iskar, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.